NOAA Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 222

NOAA Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 222

MD 0222 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NCNTRL TX MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0222 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0213 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 AREAS AFFECTED…NCNTRL TX CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 170713Z – 170945Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…5 PERCENT SUMMARY…A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK ACROSS NCNTRL TX. WW ISSUANCE WILL NOT EXPECTED. DISCUSSION…LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 17, 2016 Early Morning UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 17, 2016 Early Morning UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0101 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 VALID 171200Z – 181200Z …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY… …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NCNTRL TX INTO THE GULF COASTAL REGION… …THERE IS… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 17, 2016 Evening Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 17, 2016 Evening Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 VALID 170100Z – 171200Z …NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST… …SUMMARY… NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE U.S. TONIGHT. …NERN STATES… ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN CORRIDOR OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEWD EJECTING… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 16, 2016 Afternoon Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 16, 2016 Afternoon Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0251 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 VALID 162000Z – 171200Z …NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST… …SUMMARY… THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE. …20Z OUTLOOK UPDATE… ADJUSTMENTS TO PROBABILISTIC AND CATEGORICAL LINES HAVE BEEN MADE…LARGELY BASED ON THE LATEST… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 16, 2016 Morning Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 16, 2016 Morning Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0744 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 VALID 161300Z – 171200Z …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF ERN VA AND SRN MD… …SUMMARY… ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS… Read more →